Náutico vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 0
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 0
NAU
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 1
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 0
NAU
24%
23%
53%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAH
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 2
SPO
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 1
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 0
SAN
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |