Náutico vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
POR
1 - 4
NAU
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAL
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
38%
25%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
37%
25%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
4 - 0
POR
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
7 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |