Pernambucano 1 Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 1
NAU
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 1
VIT
72%
18%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 1
NAU
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPO
14%
22%
65%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAL
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
FER
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
0 - 2
NAU
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |