Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 2
NAU
12%
20%
68%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 2
NAU
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 0
BAH
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
CRB
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAL
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
SPO
11%
20%
69%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 1
CON
39%
29%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAL
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
SAL
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |