Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 1
PPE
24%
27%
50%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
ARN
1 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
OES
2 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
LUV
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
MOG
0 - 0
SAL
67%
21%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 1
MOG
26%
27%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TRE
3 - 0
SAL
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 0
CRB
34%
29%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 3
SAL
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |