Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAU
46%
23%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
NAU
1 - 1
POR
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 4
NAU
12%
19%
69%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
YPI
1 - 1
NAU
19%
21%
59%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SAL
0 - 0
YPI
70%
18%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SAL
0 - 2
SER
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
SAL
1 - 2
ACA
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
POR
1 - 1
SAL
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
EST
1 - 2
SAL
10%
17%
73%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |