Pernambucano 1 Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Náutico vs Retro FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 1
RIV
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
19%
26%
55%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
NAU
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Retro FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FEC
0 - 4
RFC
8%
15%
77%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
MEC
1 - 2
RFC
11%
17%
72%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
NAU
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
RFC
27%
24%
48%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 0
MAG
78%
15%
8%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | -1 |