Náutico vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
CEA
1 - 1
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAU
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
NAU
4 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PAY
1 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 0
ATM
37%
26%
38%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
GUA
0 - 1
REM
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
REM
2 - 1
ATM
25%
26%
50%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
REM
2 - 0
SPO
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CEA
1 - 1
REM
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2006 |
REM
4 - 1
VIL
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |