Náutico vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
4 - 1
NAU
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 2
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
REM
2 - 3
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
NAU
2 - 4
BOT
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BOT
0 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
BOT
4 - 1
REM
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
REM
3 - 2
BOT
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
REM
2 - 3
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
REM
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
REM
2 - 0
BRA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |