Náutico vs CA Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 3
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
SPO
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
SAN
18%
24%
59%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
SER
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PES
0 - 1
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |