Náutico vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.9%
3.4%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 0
CAM
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
ARN
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 1
ADJ
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 25 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LON
3 - 2
NAU
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAU
4 - 1
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JAC
3 - 0
PET
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 3
ASA
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 0
PET
68%
21%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
SER
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
PET
73%
19%
9%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |