Náutico vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 3
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
CEN
81%
13%
5%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
73%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 1
SER
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 3
NAU
10%
19%
70%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
CHA
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
YPI
2 - 1
PET
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
73%
|
35 | 74 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
PET
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
BEL
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |