Náutico vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 2
CRB
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
POR
1 - 0
NAU
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 0
REM
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
CEA
1 - 1
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 0
NAU
39%
27%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2006 |
PAU
5 - 1
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
AVA
1 - 0
PAU
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
PAU
2 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 3
PAU
37%
26%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
PAU
4 - 0
CEA
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |