Náutico vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 2
NAU
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 1
CEA
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 1
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 1
CRB
54%
22%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2005 |
ITU
1 - 3
PAU
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
PAU
1 - 2
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
FLU
0 - 0
PAU
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
PAU
2 - 1
AVA
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
PAU
2 - 0
FLU
30%
25%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |