Náutico vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
SAO
2 - 1
NAU
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
NAU
2 - 2
LON
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
SPO
3 - 2
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
NAU
3 - 0
CRB
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
ANA
2 - 1
PAU
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2002 |
PAU
1 - 2
MOG
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
4 - 2
PAU
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
LON
2 - 2
PAU
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
PAU
1 - 0
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |