Náutico vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
SCI
4 - 2
NAU
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 1
OES
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
NAU
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 2
CEA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FFL
3 - 0
NAU
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
GUA
54%
27%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
LON
1 - 1
PAR
40%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 0
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 1
PAR
21%
27%
52%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 2
ATM
17%
25%
58%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |