Náutico vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
ATP
1 - 1
NAU
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
SPO
4 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 2
GOI
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 4
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
PAL
2 - 0
ARN
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
COR
0 - 1
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
PAL
0 - 2
ATP
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
GOI
3 - 1
PAL
48%
24%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
PAL
1 - 1
BOT
53%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |