Náutico vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
51.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
ANA
3 - 1
NAU
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
ATM
3 - 1
NAU
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
NAU
4 - 3
JEC
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 2
ATM
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
NAU
3 - 1
ARN
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 1
AME
81%
13%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 3
PAL
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAL
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 7
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 1
CRI
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |