Náutico vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 0
NAU
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 2
CEA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FFL
3 - 0
NAU
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 0
AMF
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
OES
2 - 0
CRB
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 1
OES
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
OES
1 - 0
CRI
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAY
2 - 0
OES
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OES
1 - 2
JUV
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |