Náutico vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 2
NAU
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
VAS
17%
26%
57%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 0
ICA
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
OES
1 - 3
VIL
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
OES
0 - 0
AVA
31%
27%
43%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
OES
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
OES
2 - 1
LUV
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 2
OES
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |