Náutico vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
OES
2 - 0
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NAU
3 - 0
ABC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAY
0 - 1
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 2
AMF
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CRB
2 - 1
MOG
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 2
PAR
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 1
MOG
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MOG
0 - 3
BOT
21%
27%
53%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |