Náutico vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
VIT
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAU
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
MAC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
0 - 0
PAR
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
MOG
3 - 1
MAC
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
PAY
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
AMF
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |