Náutico vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
CRI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LON
0 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 0
NAU
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 0
LUV
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 1
PAR
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 0
LUV
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 0
ABC
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |