Náutico vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 1
NAU
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
NAU
26%
29%
45%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 1
BRA
60%
22%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
VAS
3 - 2
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NAU
5 - 1
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 1
LON
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
LUV
0 - 0
SAM
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
LUV
44%
30%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 0
LUV
30%
30%
41%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 0
CEA
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |