Náutico vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 1
NAU
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 2
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
LUV
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
3 - 1
AVA
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUV
1 - 0
OES
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 0
LUV
62%
22%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
LUV
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |