Náutico vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 3
PAY
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 3
NAU
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 0
NAU
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 2
NAU
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
GOI
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BOA
0 - 1
LON
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
ABC
3 - 0
LON
21%
27%
53%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
LON
2 - 0
PAY
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
LON
1 - 0
FFL
55%
25%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |