Náutico vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
NAU
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRB
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 3
GOI
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 1
NAU
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 0
GUA
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
GOI
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LON
2 - 2
JUV
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 2
BRA
42%
30%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
PAY
0 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |