Copa do Brasil 1/32
First leg 2-0
Náutico vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
JAC
0 - 2
NAU
26%
24%
51%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 0
BRA
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 1
NAU
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 2
SPO
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
JAC
0 - 2
NAU
26%
24%
51%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
JAC
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
JAC
0 - 1
PAR
14%
19%
67%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
JAC
1 - 3
SDJ
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SDJ
1 - 1
JAC
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |