Náutico vs Imperatriz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
NAU
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 0
NAU
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
NAU
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CEA
0 - 2
NAU
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Imperatriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
IMP
2 - 0
GLO
38%
29%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MOT
2 - 3
IMP
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
IMP
0 - 0
MOT
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
IMP
1 - 1
SAM
22%
26%
53%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 0
IMP
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |