Náutico vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 1
DUQ
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 0
ABC
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAL
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 0
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
ICA
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
ICA
3 - 1
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
ICA
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 1
BOA
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |