Náutico vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 1
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 4
PAR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
ICA
1 - 1
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
ICA
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ICA
3 - 1
FFL
26%
26%
48%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ICA
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 3
AMF
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |