Náutico vs Íbis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.7%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
13.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
6.6%
1.7%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 0
NAU
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 2
AVA
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAM
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
NAU
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
COT
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Íbis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PET
2 - 2
ISC
55%
25%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ISC
1 - 1
CAR
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
AME
0 - 1
ISC
52%
26%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
ISC
3 - 1
PER
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
ISC
0 - 1
PET
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |