Náutico vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
59.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
6 - 0
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 1
NAU
49%
28%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
4 - 3
TOM
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAU
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAM
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAH
68%
20%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
GRE
19%
27%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
CSA
81%
14%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
GRE
20%
27%
53%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 0
SPO
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |