Náutico vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
53%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
NAU
70%
21%
9%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 3
VAS
22%
25%
54%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
SAO
24%
27%
50%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 4
ATP
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
41%
25%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 2
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 0
GRE
34%
27%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
PPE
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 1
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |