Náutico vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 2
BOT
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
VAS
4 - 2
NAU
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
CRZ
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 1
NAU
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 2
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
GRE
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAL
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
BAH
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |