Náutico vs Grêmio analysis

Náutico Grêmio
68 ELO 84
3.6% Tilt 0.3%
1267º General ELO ranking 152º
54º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
18.7%
Náutico
25.1%
Draw
56.2%
Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
Náutico
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56.2%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Náutico
+6%
-6%
Grêmio

ELO progression

Náutico
Grêmio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jun. 2012
NAU
Náutico
3 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
18%
24%
58%
66 83 17 0
07 Jun. 2012
VAS
Vasco da Gama
4 - 2
Náutico
NAU
75%
17%
8%
66 84 18 0
27 May. 2012
NAU
Náutico
0 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
17%
24%
59%
66 84 18 0
20 May. 2012
FFL
Figueirense
2 - 1
Náutico
NAU
77%
15%
8%
66 79 13 0
29 Apr. 2012
SPO
Sport Recife
0 - 0
Náutico
NAU
60%
22%
19%
65 70 5 +1

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jun. 2012
GRE
Grêmio
0 - 2
Palmeiras
PAL
58%
22%
20%
85 83 2 0
10 Jun. 2012
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 0
Corinthians
COR
48%
26%
26%
84 87 3 +1
07 Jun. 2012
ATL
Atlético GO
0 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
38%
25%
37%
84 79 5 0
27 May. 2012
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 0
Palmeiras
PAL
54%
23%
23%
84 84 0 0
25 May. 2012
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 0
Bahía
BAH
68%
19%
13%
83 75 8 +1