Náutico vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
POR
0 - 2
NAU
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 1
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 2
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
POR
1 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |