Náutico vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ATM
5 - 1
NAU
73%
17%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
GRE
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 2
BOT
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
VAS
4 - 2
NAU
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
CRZ
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 4
FLU
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
FLU
4 - 1
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 0
SCI
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLU
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 2
FFL
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |