Náutico vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GOI
3 - 0
NAU
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
ATP
2 - 0
NAU
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 2
FFL
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
CRZ
4 - 2
NAU
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 0
ATM
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
IFC
2 - 1
FLU
21%
25%
55%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 2
SCI
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
FLU
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |