Náutico vs Fluminense analysis

Náutico Fluminense
72 ELO 76
3.1% Tilt -7.8%
1267º General ELO ranking 136º
54º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
52.5%
Náutico
25.3%
Draw
22.2%
Fluminense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
Náutico
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.3%
Win probability
Fluminense
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Náutico
+3%
+7%
Fluminense

ELO progression

Náutico
Fluminense
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 1991
NAU
Náutico
2 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
43%
28%
30%
72 79 7 0
04 Mar. 1991
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Náutico
NAU
57%
25%
18%
73 79 6 -1
24 Feb. 1991
PAL
Palmeiras
2 - 0
Náutico
NAU
52%
26%
22%
73 76 3 0
17 Feb. 1991
NAU
Náutico
2 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
61%
23%
16%
73 72 1 0
06 Feb. 1991
NAU
Náutico
2 - 0
Santos FC
SAN
58%
25%
18%
72 73 1 +1

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 1991
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 0
Bahía
BAH
51%
28%
21%
75 75 0 0
03 Mar. 1991
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
42%
29%
29%
75 78 3 0
28 Feb. 1991
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
Goiânia
GOI
73%
16%
11%
74 62 12 +1
23 Feb. 1991
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
55%
26%
20%
75 78 3 -1
21 Feb. 1991
GOI
Goiânia
1 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
34%
24%
42%
75 62 13 0