Náutico vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1991 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAO
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1991 |
FLA
1 - 0
NAU
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
PAL
2 - 0
NAU
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAN
58%
25%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1991 |
FLU
2 - 0
BAH
51%
28%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
FLU
2 - 0
GRE
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1991 |
FLU
1 - 0
GOI
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1991 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
55%
26%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1991 |
GOI
1 - 1
FLU
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |