Náutico vs Fluminense PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
AFO
0 - 1
NAU
12%
19%
69%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 2
CRB
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
NAU
0 - 0
POR
87%
10%
3%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 1
NAU
27%
23%
50%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
3 - 0
CAC
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
FPI
50%
22%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
4DE
1 - 3
FPI
19%
20%
61%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
2 - 1
ALT
28%
22%
51%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 2
FPI
25%
21%
54%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |