Náutico vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 2
GRE
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
NAU
70%
21%
9%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 3
VAS
22%
25%
54%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 4
ATP
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
FLA
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FLA
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 1
VIT
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |