Náutico vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
NAU
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 2
SPO
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NAU
2 - 1
GRÊ
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 1
NAU
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ATM
1 - 3
FLA
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
FLA
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
43%
25%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAL
0 - 2
FLA
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |