Náutico vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NAU
0 - 0
PAL
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ATM
2 - 1
NAU
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VAS
1 - 3
NAU
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NAU
2 - 0
IFC
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 1
SPO
61%
23%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
FLA
1 - 0
IFC
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2008 |
FFL
2 - 3
FLA
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 2
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |