Náutico vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
FFL
2 - 0
NAU
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 0
ARN
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FLU
2 - 1
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 3
NAU
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATP
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
FLA
2 - 1
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ARN
0 - 1
FLA
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |