Náutico vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
FLU
0 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
COR
1 - 0
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1990 |
NAU
2 - 2
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
NAU
1 - 1
SCI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1990 |
FLA
2 - 0
VIT
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
POR
0 - 2
FLA
47%
28%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1990 |
FLA
1 - 2
COR
55%
26%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLA
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
FLA
1 - 1
ATM
44%
29%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |