Náutico vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
TRE
1 - 1
NAU
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
FER
1 - 2
NAU
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
PPE
2 - 1
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1981 |
NAU
0 - 0
PPE
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
NAU
3 - 0
FER
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
FLA
3 - 2
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
FLA
3 - 0
LIV
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1981 |
FLA
2 - 0
COB
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1981 |
COB
1 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
26%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1981 |
FLA
2 - 1
COB
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |