Náutico vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
VOL
0 - 0
NAU
34%
29%
37%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ABC
1 - 1
NAU
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
SAM
2 - 3
NAU
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
ARN
1 - 0
NAU
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
ARN
0 - 0
FLA
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
8 - 1
SAM
85%
10%
5%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
3 - 0
SPO
66%
18%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLA
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
FLA
2 - 3
FLA
20%
29%
51%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |