Náutico vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
SER
2 - 3
NAU
31%
30%
39%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1974 |
NAU
2 - 2
AME
50%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1974 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1974 |
FOR
0 - 0
NAU
54%
23%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1974 |
NAU
4 - 2
COT
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLA
39%
31%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1975 |
FLA
1 - 2
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1974 |
FLA
6 - 0
PAY
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1974 |
FLA
1 - 3
CRZ
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1974 |
BAH
1 - 1
FLA
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |