Náutico vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1972 |
NAU
1 - 1
COT
37%
23%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
NAU
3 - 2
AMF
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 3
NAU
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1972 |
ABC
3 - 4
NAU
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
NAU
2 - 2
REM
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
CRZ
1 - 1
FLA
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1972 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLA
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLA
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1972 |
FLA
0 - 6
BOT
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1972 |
AMF
2 - 0
FLA
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |