Náutico vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 0
NAU
37%
25%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 2
DUQ
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
COT
3 - 1
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
NAU
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
FFL
0 - 1
AMF
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
FFL
40%
26%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
FFL
1 - 0
SAO
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
FFL
27%
27%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
FFL
2 - 2
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |